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Detection Hypothesis
A testable idea about how a specific attacker behavior would appear in available data, which a detection engineer forms before building a detection, stating what to look for and in which telemetry.
Before writing a detection, an engineer articulates a hypothesis: 'if an attacker does X, it should produce observable Y in log source Z.' This frames the detection as something testable, what behavior, what evidence, what data, rather than a guess. A clear hypothesis guides the detection logic, makes testing meaningful (does it fire on X?), and connects detection engineering to the same hypothesis-driven thinking used in threat hunting.
Introduced in: Detection Engineering
Examples
- Hypothesizing that credential dumping will show as a process reading LSASS memory.
- Stating which log source would reveal a given technique before building the rule.
- Framing a detection as a testable 'if behavior, then evidence' statement.
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